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7 <title>WLoH ranking probability calculation</title>
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32 <h1>WLoH ranking probability calculation</h1>
34 <p><em>This is a hobby project from a third party, and not an official part of <a href="http://wordfeud.aasmul.net/">Wordfeud League of Honour</a>.</em></p>
36 <p>The calculation does not take into account uneven playing strength, information from the forum etc.; it assumes that any unplayed games are drawn from a Gaussian distribution with standard deviation <t:match-stddev /> points. The probabilities might not sum to 100%, due to roundoff errors. The numbers will vary a bit between runs, since the calculation is stochastic. For scenario example, click in a cell.</p>
38 <p>The players are sorted by nickname.</p>
40 <form method="get" t:id="division-selector">
41 <p>Division:<select name="divisjon" onchange="form.submit();" t:id="division">
44 Subdivision:<select name="avdeling" onchange="form.submit();" t:id="subdivision">
47 <input type="submit" value="Vis" />
51 <table class="probmatrix" t:id="basic-probabilities">
58 <t:relegation><th>RELEGATION</th></t:relegation>
65 <td class="num"><t:link><a class="unmarkedlink" /></t:link><t:no-link /></td>
71 <p class="scenario"><object id="scenario1" data="" type="text/html"> </object></p>
73 <p style="clear: both; padding-top: 1em;">Below is a variant that takes relative playing strength into account; see <a href="rating">the ratings page</a>.</p>
75 <table class="probmatrix" t:id="adjusted-probabilities">
82 <t:relegation><th>RELEGATION</th></t:relegation>
89 <td class="num"><t:link><a class="unmarkedlink" /></t:link><t:no-link /></td>
95 <p class="scenario"><object id="scenario2" data="" type="text/html"> </object></p>
98 <p style="clear: both; padding-top: 1em;">Covariance matrix:</p>
104 <t:player-list><th /></t:player-list>
110 <t:elements><td class="num" /></t:elements>
116 <p style="clear: both; padding-top: 1em;">Average rating in this subdivision is <strong t:id="average-rating" />.</p>
117 <p class="lastsync">The database was last synchronized <t:last-sync />.</p>