- |
+ my $max_division = $divisions->[(scalar @$divisions) - 1];
+
+ print <<"EOF";
+ Divisjon:
+
+ Avdeling:
+
+
+
+
+EOF
+}
+
+sub get_players_and_ratings {
+ my ($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
+
+ my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT fotballdeltagere.id,fotballdeltagere.navn,rating,rating_stddev FROM fotballdeltagere JOIN fotballserier ON fotballdeltagere.serie=fotballserier.nr NATURAL JOIN spiller_kultur LEFT JOIN ratings ON fotballdeltagere.id=ratings.id WHERE kultur=? AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?');
+ $q->execute($locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
+
+ while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
+ my $id = $ref->{'id'};
+ $players{$id} = sanitize(Encode::decode_utf8($ref->{'navn'}));
+ $ratings{$id} = $ref->{'rating'};
+ $ratings_stddev{$id} = $ref->{'rating_stddev'};
+ }
+ $q->finish;
+}
+
+sub get_matches {
+ my ($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
+
+ my @matches = ();
+ my $q = $dbh->prepare('
+ SELECT
+ d1.id AS p1, d2.id AS p2, maalfor AS score1, maalmot AS score2
+ FROM fotballresultater r
+ JOIN fotballserier s ON r.serie=s.nr
+ JOIN fotballspraak sp ON s.spraak=sp.id
+ JOIN fotballdeltagere d1 ON r.lagrecno=d1.nr AND r.serie=d1.serie
+ JOIN fotballdeltagere d2 ON r.motstander=d2.nr AND r.serie=d2.serie
+ WHERE
+ kultur=? AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?
+ AND lagrecno > motstander
+ ');
+ $q->execute($locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
+
+ while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
+ push @matches, [ $ref->{'p1'}, $ref->{'p2'}, $ref->{'score1'}, $ref->{'score2'} ];
+ }
+ $q->finish;
+
+ return @matches;
+}
+
+sub get_covariance_matrix {
+ my ($dbh, @players) = @_;
+
+ my $player_sql = '{' . join(',', @players ) . '}';
+ my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT * FROM covariance WHERE player1=ANY(?::smallint[]) AND player2=ANY(?::smallint[])', { pg_prepare_now => 0 });
+ $q->execute($player_sql, $player_sql);
+
+ my $cov = {};
+ while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
+ $cov->{$ref->{'player1'}}{$ref->{'player2'}} = $ref->{'cov'};
+ }
+
+ return $cov;
+}
+
+sub write_parms_to_file {
+ my ($aux_parms, $match_stddev, $used_ratings, $used_cov) = @_;
+
+ POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
+
+ my @sorted_players = sort { $players{$a} cmp $players{$b} } keys %players;
+
POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'C');
my $tmpnam = POSIX::tmpnam();
@@ -57,12 +185,21 @@ EOF
printf MCCALC "%f\n", $match_stddev;
printf MCCALC "%d\n", scalar keys %players;
- for my $id (keys %players) {
- if (exists($used_ratings->{$id})) {
- printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, $used_ratings->{$id};
- } else {
- printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, 1500.0;
+ for my $id (@sorted_players) {
+ my $rating = $used_ratings->{$id} // 500.0;
+ printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, $rating;
+ }
+
+ # covariance matrix
+ for my $id1 (keys %players) {
+ for my $id2 (keys %players) {
+ if ($id1 == $id2) {
+ printf MCCALC "%f ", ($used_cov->{$id1}{$id2} // $aux_parms->{'rating_prior_stddev'});
+ } else {
+ printf MCCALC "%f ", ($used_cov->{$id1}{$id2} // 0.0);
+ }
}
+ printf MCCALC "\n";
}
for my $match (@matches) {
@@ -72,6 +209,34 @@ EOF
POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
+ return $tmpnam;
+}
+
+my $num_tables = 0;
+
+sub make_table {
+ my ($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, $used_ratings, $used_cov, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
+ ++$num_tables;
+
+ print <<"EOF";
+
+
+
+ |
+EOF
+
+ my $tmpnam = write_parms_to_file($aux_parms, $match_stddev, $used_ratings, $used_cov);
my %prob = ();
open MCCALC, "$config::base_dir/mcwordfeud $trials < $tmpnam |"
@@ -80,20 +245,22 @@ EOF
chomp;
my @x = split /\s+/;
my $id = $x[0];
- my $player = $players{$id};
+ my $player = sprintf "%s (%.0f ± %.0f)", $players{$id}, ($ratings{$id} // 500.0), ($ratings_stddev{$id} // $aux_parms->{'rating_prior_stddev'});
$prob{$player} = [ @x[1..$#x] ];
}
close MCCALC;
- #unlink $tmpnam;
+ unlink $tmpnam;
my $num_games = scalar keys %prob;
for my $i (1..$num_games) {
print " $i. | \n";
}
- print " NEDRYKK | \n";
+ print " NEDRYKK | \n" unless ($lowest_division);
print "
\n";
+ my $pnum = 0;
for my $player (sort { $a cmp $b } keys %prob) {
+ ++$pnum;
print " \n";
print " $player | \n";
@@ -106,198 +273,159 @@ EOF
if ($i == 1) {
($g, $b) = ($b, $g);
- } elsif ($i >= $num_games - 1) {
+ } elsif ($i >= $num_games - 1 && !$lowest_division) {
($r, $b) = ($b, $r);
}
- printf " %.1f%% | \n", $pn * 100.0;
+ my $num_total_games = ($num_games * ($num_games - 1)) / 2;
+ if (scalar @matches == $num_total_games || $prob{$player}->[$i - 1] == $trials) {
+ printf " %.1f%% | \n", $pn * 100.0;
+ } else {
+ printf " %.1f%% | \n", $pn * 100.0;
+ }
}
- {
+ unless ($lowest_division) {
my $pn = ($prob{$player}->[$num_games - 1] + $prob{$player}->[$num_games - 2]) / $trials;
my $r = color(1.0);
my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
my $b = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
- printf " %.1f%% | \n", $pn * 100.0;
+ printf " %.1f%% | \n", $pn * 100.0;
}
print "
\n";
}
print << "EOF";
+
+
EOF
}
-# Get auxillary parameters
-my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT * FROM ratings WHERE id < 0');
-$q->execute;
+sub find_avg_rating {
+ my ($ratings) = shift;
-while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
- $parms{$ref->{'id'}} = $ref->{'rating'};
+ my $sum_rating = 0.0;
+ for my $r (values %$ratings) {
+ $sum_rating += ($r // 500.0);
+ }
+ return $sum_rating / scalar keys %$ratings;
}
-$match_stddev = $parms{-2} * sqrt(2.0);
-
-my $season = $cgi->param('sesong') // -1;
-my $division = $cgi->param('divisjon') // -1;
-my $subdivision = $cgi->param('avdeling') // -1;
-POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
-
-print $cgi->header(-type=>'text/html; charset=utf-8', -expires=>'Thu, 01 Dec 1994 16:00:00 GMT');
-printf <<"EOF", $match_stddev;
-
+sub print_header {
+ my ($cgi, $title) = @_;
+ print $cgi->header(-type=>'text/html; charset=utf-8', -expires=>'now');
+ print <<"EOF";
+
+
+
- WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning
-
+ $title
+
- WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning
-
- Beregningen tar ikke hensyn til ujevn spillestyrke, ting som er sagt i forumet e.l.;
- den antar at samtlige uspilte kamper trekkes fra en normalfordeling med standardavvik
- %.1f poeng. Sannsynlighetene kan summere til andre tall enn 100%% pga. avrunding.
- Tallene vil variere litt fra gang til gang fordi utregningen skjer ved randomisering.
-
- Spillerne er sortert etter nick.
-
-
+ Beregningen tar ikke hensyn til ujevn spillestyrke, ting som er sagt i forumet e.l.;
+ den antar at samtlige uspilte kamper trekkes fra en normalfordeling med standardavvik
+ %.1f poeng. Sannsynlighetene kan summere til andre tall enn 100%% pga. avrunding.
+ Tallene vil variere litt fra gang til gang fordi utregningen skjer ved randomisering.
+ For scenarioeksempel, klikk i en rute.
+
+ Spillerne er sortert etter nick.
EOF
-# Get players and ratings
-$q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT fotballdeltagere.id,fotballdeltagere.navn,rating FROM fotballdeltagere JOIN fotballserier ON fotballdeltagere.serie=fotballserier.nr JOIN ratings ON fotballdeltagere.id=ratings.id AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?');
-$q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
+ print_division_selector($dbh, $locale, \@divisions, \@subdivisions, $division, $subdivision);
-while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
- my $id = $ref->{'id'};
- $players{$id} = sanitize(Encode::decode_utf8($ref->{'navn'}));
- $ratings{$id} = $ref->{'rating'};
-}
-$q->finish;
-
-$q = $dbh->prepare('
-SELECT
- d1.id AS p1, d2.id AS p2, maalfor AS score1, maalmot AS score2
-FROM fotballresultater r
- JOIN fotballserier s ON r.serie=s.nr
- JOIN fotballdeltagere d1 ON r.lagrecno=d1.nr AND r.serie=d1.serie
- JOIN fotballdeltagere d2 ON r.motstander=d2.nr AND r.serie=d2.serie
-WHERE
- sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?
- AND lagrecno > motstander
-');
-$q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
-
-while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
- push @matches, [ $ref->{'p1'}, $ref->{'p2'}, $ref->{'score1'}, $ref->{'score2'} ];
-}
-$q->finish;
+ my $max_division = $divisions[$#divisions];
+ my $lowest_division = ($division == $max_division);
+ make_table($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, {}, {}, $division, $subdivision);
+ print <<"EOF";
+ Under er en variant som tar relativ spillestyrke med i beregningen;
+ se ratingsiden.
+EOF
-make_table({});
+ make_table($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, \%ratings, $cov, $division, $subdivision);
-print <<"EOF";
- Under er en variant som prøver å ta relativ spillestyrke med i betraktningen.
- Disse er basert på WLoH-data og oppdateres hver hele time (takk til Lobotommy for tilgang!),
- men modellen er foreløpig ikke fullstendig tunet.
-EOF
+ my $avg_rating = find_avg_rating(\%ratings);
+ printf " Gjennomsnittlig rating i denne avdelingen er %.1f.
\n", $avg_rating;
-make_table(\%ratings);
+ wloh_common::output_last_sync($dbh);
+}
-print << "EOF";
-