--- /dev/null
+#! /usr/bin/perl
+use strict;
+use warnings;
+no warnings qw(once);
+use CGI;
+use CGI::Carp qw( fatalsToBrowser );
+use DBI;
+use POSIX;
+use Devel::Peek;
+use locale;
+require '../config.pm';
+
+my $dbh = DBI->connect($config::local_connstr, $config::local_username, $config::local_password)
+ or die "connect: " . $DBI::errstr;
+$dbh->{AutoCommit} = 0;
+$dbh->{RaiseError} = 1;
+
+my $trials = 25_000;
+
+binmode STDOUT, ':utf8';
+
+my %players = ();
+my %ratings = ();
+my @matches = ();
+
+sub sanitize {
+ $_ = shift;
+ y/ \t\n<>&/_/;
+ return $_;
+}
+
+sub color {
+ my $x = shift;
+ return int(255.0 * ($x ** (1.80)));
+}
+
+sub make_table {
+ my $used_ratings = shift;
+
+ print <<"EOF";
+
+ <table>
+ <tr>
+ <th></th>
+EOF
+
+ POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'C');
+
+ my $tmpnam = POSIX::tmpnam();
+ open MCCALC, ">", $tmpnam
+ or die "$tmpnam: $!";
+
+ printf MCCALC "%d\n", scalar keys %players;
+
+ for my $id (keys %players) {
+ if (exists($used_ratings->{$id})) {
+ printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, $used_ratings->{$id};
+ } else {
+ printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, 1500.0;
+ }
+ }
+
+ for my $match (@matches) {
+ printf MCCALC "%s %s %d %d\n", $match->[0], $match->[1], $match->[2], $match->[3];
+ }
+ close MCCALC;
+
+ POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
+
+ my %prob = ();
+
+ open MCCALC, "$config::base_dir/mcwordfeud $trials < $tmpnam |"
+ or die "mccalc: $!";
+ while (<MCCALC>) {
+ chomp;
+ my @x = split /\s+/;
+ my $id = $x[0];
+ my $player = $players{$id};
+ $prob{$player} = [ @x[1..$#x] ];
+ }
+ close MCCALC;
+ #unlink $tmpnam;
+
+ my $num_games = scalar keys %prob;
+ for my $i (1..$num_games) {
+ print " <th>$i.</th>\n";
+ }
+ print " <th>NEDRYKK</th>\n";
+ print " </tr>\n";
+
+ for my $player (sort { $a cmp $b } keys %prob) {
+ print " <tr>\n";
+ print " <th>$player</th>\n";
+
+ for my $i (1..$num_games) {
+ my $pn = $prob{$player}->[$i - 1] / $trials;
+
+ my $r = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
+ my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
+ my $b = color(1.0);
+
+ if ($i == 1) {
+ ($g, $b) = ($b, $g);
+ } elsif ($i >= $num_games - 1) {
+ ($r, $b) = ($b, $r);
+ }
+
+ printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
+ }
+
+ {
+ my $pn = ($prob{$player}->[$num_games - 1] + $prob{$player}->[$num_games - 2]) / $trials;
+
+ my $r = color(1.0);
+ my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
+ my $b = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
+ printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
+ }
+ print " </tr>\n";
+ }
+
+ print << "EOF";
+ </table>
+EOF
+}
+
+# Get players and ratings
+my $season = 18;
+my $division = 1;
+my $subdivision = 1;
+
+my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT fotballdeltagere.id,fotballdeltagere.navn,rating FROM fotballdeltagere JOIN fotballserier ON fotballdeltagere.serie=fotballserier.nr JOIN ratings ON fotballdeltagere.id=ratings.id AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?');
+$q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
+
+while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
+ my $id = $ref->{'id'};
+ $players{$id} = sanitize($ref->{'navn'});
+ $ratings{$id} = $ref->{'rating'};
+}
+$q->finish;
+
+$q = $dbh->prepare('
+SELECT
+ d1.id AS p1, d2.id AS p2, maalfor AS score1, maalmot AS score2
+FROM fotballresultater r
+ JOIN fotballserier s ON r.serie=s.nr
+ JOIN fotballdeltagere d1 ON r.lagrecno=d1.nr AND r.serie=d1.serie
+ JOIN fotballdeltagere d2 ON r.motstander=d2.nr AND r.serie=d2.serie
+WHERE
+ sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?
+ AND lagrecno > motstander
+');
+$q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
+
+while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
+ push @matches, [ $ref->{'p1'}, $ref->{'p2'}, $ref->{'score1'}, $ref->{'score2'} ];
+}
+$q->finish;
+
+print CGI->header(-type=>'text/html; charset=utf-8', -expires=>'Thu, 01 Dec 1994 16:00:00 GMT');
+print <<"EOF";
+<html>
+ <head>
+ <title>WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning</title>
+ <style type="text/css">
+body {
+ color: black;
+ background: white;
+ font-family: sans-serif;
+}
+table {
+ border-collapse: collapse;
+ border: 1px solid black;
+}
+td, th {
+ border: 1px solid black;
+ padding: 5px;
+}
+td {
+ text-align: right;
+}
+ </style>
+ </head>
+ <body>
+ <h1>WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning</h1>
+
+ <p>Beregningen tar ikke hensyn til ujevn spillestyrke, ting som er sagt i forumet e.l.;
+ den antar at samtlige uspilte kamper trekkes fra en normalfordeling med standardavvik
+ 82,9 poeng. Sannsynlighetene kan summere til andre tall enn 100% pga. avrunding.
+ Tallene vil variere litt fra gang til gang fordi utregningen skjer ved randomisering.</p>
+
+ <p>Andre divisjoner enn 1. divisjon kommer etter hvert.</p>
+
+ <p>Spillerne er sortert etter nick.</p>
+EOF
+
+make_table({});
+
+print <<"EOF";
+ <p>Under er en variant som prøver å ta relativ spillestyrke med i betraktningen.
+ Disse er basert på WLoH-data opp til og med sesong 17 (takk til Lobotommy for tilgang
+ til disse!), men modellen er foreløpig ikke fullstendig tunet.</p>
+EOF
+
+make_table(\%ratings);
+
+print << "EOF";
+ </table>
+ </body>
+</html>
+EOF