Update WDL model for current SF

This updates the WDL model based on the LTC statistics  (2M games).

Relatively small change, note that this also adjusts the NormalizeToPawnValue (now 361),
to keep win prob at 50% for 100cp.

closes https://github.com/official-stockfish/Stockfish/pull/4236

No functional change.

diff --git a/src/uci.cpp b/src/uci.cpp
index 19e2b0cb920341fcf911b083057447de87721c02..5d842d25e73b6635b1472d2fead5eb525f602336 100644 (file)
--- a/src/uci.cpp
+++ b/src/uci.cpp
@@ -207,8 +207,8 @@ namespace {
      // The coefficients of a third-order polynomial fit is based on the fishtest data
      // for two parameters that need to transform eval to the argument of a logistic
      // function.
-     constexpr double as[] = {   1.04790516,   -8.58534089,   39.42615625,  316.17524816};
-     constexpr double bs[] = {  -3.57324784,   22.28816201,  -35.47480551,   85.60617701 };
+     constexpr double as[] = {  -0.58270499,    2.68512549,   15.24638015,  344.49745382};
+     constexpr double bs[] = {  -2.65734562,   15.96509799,  -20.69040836,   73.61029937 };
 
      // Enforce that NormalizeToPawnValue corresponds to a 50% win rate at ply 64
      static_assert(UCI::NormalizeToPawnValue == int(as[0] + as[1] + as[2] + as[3]));

diff --git a/src/uci.h b/src/uci.h
index f5f2c385c6c65e41a99f998292ab68e391333213..7a2ef2558186fae68414871dfb14e2168332e313 100644 (file)
--- a/src/uci.h
+++ b/src/uci.h
@@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ namespace UCI {
 // the win_rate_model() such that Stockfish outputs an advantage of
 // "100 centipawns" for a position if the engine has a 50% probability to win
 // from this position in selfplay at fishtest LTC time control.
-const int NormalizeToPawnValue = 348;
+const int NormalizeToPawnValue = 361;
 
 class Option;