6 use CGI::Carp qw( fatalsToBrowser );
14 use lib qw(../include);
20 my $dbh = DBI->connect($config::local_connstr, $config::local_username, $config::local_password)
21 or die "connect: " . $DBI::errstr;
22 $dbh->{AutoCommit} = 0;
23 $dbh->{RaiseError} = 1;
27 binmode STDOUT, ':utf8';
31 my %ratings_stddev = ();
35 return HTML::Entities::encode_entities(shift);
40 return int(255.0 * ($x ** (1.80)));
44 my ($dbh, $locale, $season) = @_;
48 my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT DISTINCT(divisjon) FROM fotballserier se JOIN fotballspraak sp ON se.spraak=sp.id WHERE kultur=? AND sesong=? ORDER BY divisjon');
49 $q->execute($locale, $season);
51 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
52 push @divisions, $ref->{'divisjon'};
58 sub get_subdivisions {
59 my ($dbh, $locale, $season, $division) = @_;
61 my @subdivisions = ();
63 my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT DISTINCT(avdeling) FROM fotballserier se JOIN fotballspraak sp ON se.spraak=sp.id WHERE kultur=? AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? ORDER BY avdeling');
64 $q->execute($locale, $season, $division);
66 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
67 push @subdivisions, $ref->{'avdeling'};
73 sub print_division_selector {
74 my ($dbh, $locale, $divisions, $subdivisions, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
77 <form method="get" action="/$locale/">
80 my $max_division = $divisions->[(scalar @$divisions) - 1];
84 <select name="divisjon" onchange="form.submit();">
87 for my $d (@$divisions) {
88 if ($d == $division) {
89 print " <option value=\"$d\" selected=\"selected\">$d</option>\n";
91 print " <option value=\"$d\">$d</option>\n";
98 <select name="avdeling" onchange="form.submit();">
101 for my $sd (@$subdivisions) {
102 if ($sd == $subdivision) {
103 print " <option value=\"$sd\" selected=\"selected\">$sd</option>\n";
105 print " <option value=\"$sd\">$sd</option>\n";
111 <input type="submit" value="Vis" />
117 sub get_players_and_ratings {
118 my ($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
120 my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT fotballdeltagere.id,fotballdeltagere.navn,rating,rating_stddev FROM fotballdeltagere JOIN fotballserier ON fotballdeltagere.serie=fotballserier.nr NATURAL JOIN spiller_kultur LEFT JOIN ratings ON fotballdeltagere.id=ratings.id WHERE kultur=? AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?');
121 $q->execute($locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
123 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
124 my $id = $ref->{'id'};
125 $players{$id} = sanitize(Encode::decode_utf8($ref->{'navn'}));
126 $ratings{$id} = $ref->{'rating'};
127 $ratings_stddev{$id} = $ref->{'rating_stddev'};
133 my ($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
136 my $q = $dbh->prepare('
138 d1.id AS p1, d2.id AS p2, maalfor AS score1, maalmot AS score2
139 FROM ( SELECT * FROM fotballresultater UNION ALL SELECT * FROM fotballresultater_2123 ) r
140 JOIN fotballserier s ON r.serie=s.nr
141 JOIN fotballspraak sp ON s.spraak=sp.id
142 JOIN fotballdeltagere d1 ON r.lagrecno=d1.nr AND r.serie=d1.serie
143 JOIN fotballdeltagere d2 ON r.motstander=d2.nr AND r.serie=d2.serie
145 kultur=? AND sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?
146 AND lagrecno > motstander
148 $q->execute($locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
150 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
151 push @matches, [ $ref->{'p1'}, $ref->{'p2'}, $ref->{'score1'}, $ref->{'score2'} ];
158 sub get_covariance_matrix {
159 my ($dbh, @players) = @_;
161 my $player_sql = '{' . join(',', @players ) . '}';
162 my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT * FROM covariance WHERE player1=ANY(?::smallint[]) AND player2=ANY(?::smallint[])', { pg_prepare_now => 0 });
163 $q->execute($player_sql, $player_sql);
166 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
167 $cov->{$ref->{'player1'}}{$ref->{'player2'}} = $ref->{'cov'};
173 sub write_parms_to_file {
174 my ($aux_parms, $match_stddev, $used_ratings, $used_cov) = @_;
176 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
178 my @sorted_players = sort { $players{$a} cmp $players{$b} } keys %players;
180 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'C');
182 my $tmpnam = POSIX::tmpnam();
183 open MCCALC, ">", $tmpnam
184 or die "$tmpnam: $!";
186 printf MCCALC "%f\n", $match_stddev;
187 printf MCCALC "%d\n", scalar keys %players;
189 for my $id (@sorted_players) {
190 my $rating = $used_ratings->{$id} // 500.0;
191 printf MCCALC "%s %f\n", $id, $rating;
195 for my $id1 (keys %players) {
196 for my $id2 (keys %players) {
198 printf MCCALC "%f ", ($used_cov->{$id1}{$id2} // $aux_parms->{'rating_prior_stddev'});
200 printf MCCALC "%f ", ($used_cov->{$id1}{$id2} // 0.0);
206 for my $match (@matches) {
207 printf MCCALC "%s %s %d %d\n", $match->[0], $match->[1], $match->[2], $match->[3];
211 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
219 my ($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, $used_ratings, $used_cov, $division, $subdivision) = @_;
223 <script type="text/javascript">
225 function showScenario(element_id, url) {
226 var obj = document.getElementById(element_id);
227 var parent = obj.parentElement;
228 parent.removeChild(obj);
229 obj = obj.cloneNode(false);
231 parent.appendChild(obj);
235 <table class="probmatrix">
240 my $tmpnam = write_parms_to_file($aux_parms, $match_stddev, $used_ratings, $used_cov);
243 open MCCALC, "$config::base_dir/mcwordfeud $trials < $tmpnam |"
249 my $player = sprintf "%s (%.0f ± %.0f)", $players{$id}, ($ratings{$id} // 500.0), ($ratings_stddev{$id} // $aux_parms->{'rating_prior_stddev'});
250 $prob{$player} = [ @x[1..$#x] ];
255 my $num_games = scalar keys %prob;
256 for my $i (1..$num_games) {
257 print " <th>$i.</th>\n";
259 print " <th>NEDRYKK</th>\n" unless ($lowest_division);
263 for my $player (sort { $a cmp $b } keys %prob) {
266 print " <th>$player</th>\n";
268 for my $i (1..$num_games) {
269 my $pn = $prob{$player}->[$i - 1] / $trials;
271 my $r = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
272 my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
277 } elsif ($i >= $num_games - 1 && !$lowest_division) {
281 my $num_total_games = ($num_games * ($num_games - 1)) / 2;
282 if (scalar @matches == $num_total_games || $prob{$player}->[$i - 1] == $trials) {
283 printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\" class=\"num\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
285 printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\" class=\"num\"><a class=\"unmarkedlink\" href=\"javascript:showScenario('scenario$num_tables', '/$locale/?divisjon=$division;avdeling=$subdivision;spiller=$pnum;posisjon=$i');\">%.1f%%</a></td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
289 unless ($lowest_division) {
290 my $pn = ($prob{$player}->[$num_games - 1] + $prob{$player}->[$num_games - 2]) / $trials;
293 my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
294 my $b = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
295 printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\" class=\"num\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
303 <p class="scenario"><object id="scenario$num_tables" data="" type="text/html"></object></p>
309 my @players = (sort { $players{$a} cmp $players{$b} } keys %players);
312 <table class="probmatrix">
317 for my $player (@players) {
318 printf " <th>%s</th>\n", $players{$player};
323 for my $player (@players) {
326 printf " <th>%s</th>\n", $players{$player};
328 for my $player2 (@players) {
329 printf " <td class=\"num\">%.3f</td>\n", $cov->{$player}{$player2};
337 sub find_avg_rating {
338 my ($ratings) = shift;
340 my $sum_rating = 0.0;
341 for my $r (values %$ratings) {
342 $sum_rating += ($r // 500.0);
344 return $sum_rating / scalar keys %$ratings;
348 my ($cgi, $title) = @_;
349 print $cgi->header(-type=>'text/html; charset=utf-8', -expires=>'now');
351 <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" ?>
353 html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.1//EN"
354 "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml11/DTD/xhtml11.dtd">
355 <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" xml:lang="no">
357 <title>$title</title>
358 <link rel="stylesheet" href="style" type="text/css" />
371 my $locale = wloh_common::get_locale($cgi);
372 my $aux_parms = wloh_common::get_auxillary_parameters($dbh, $locale);
373 my $match_stddev = $aux_parms->{'score_stddev'} * sqrt(2.0);
375 my $division = $cgi->param('divisjon') // -1;
376 my $subdivision = $cgi->param('avdeling') // -1;
377 my $match_player = $cgi->param('spiller');
378 my $match_position = $cgi->param('posisjon');
380 my $season = wloh_common::get_max_season($dbh, $locale);
381 die "Nonexistent locale!" if (!defined($season));
383 my @divisions = get_divisions($dbh, $locale, $season);
384 $division = $divisions[0] if (!grep { $_ == $division } @divisions);
385 my @subdivisions = get_subdivisions($dbh, $locale, $season, $division);
386 $subdivision = $subdivisions[0] if (!grep { $_ == $subdivision } @subdivisions);
388 get_players_and_ratings($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
389 @matches = get_matches($dbh, $locale, $season, $division, $subdivision);
390 my $cov = get_covariance_matrix($dbh, keys %players);
392 print_header($cgi, 'WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning');
394 if (defined($match_player) && defined($match_position)) {
395 my $tmpnam = write_parms_to_file($aux_parms, $match_stddev, \%ratings, $cov);
401 open MCCALC, "$config::base_dir/mcwordfeud $trials $match_player $match_position < $tmpnam |"
404 /(\d+) (\d+) (-?\d+)/ or next;
406 push @scenario, [ $1, $2, $3 ];
411 my @sorted_players = sort { $players{$a} cmp $players{$b} } keys %players;
412 my $player_name = $players{$sorted_players[$match_player]};
414 if (scalar @scenario == 0) {
415 printf " <p>Fant ingen måte <strong>%s</strong> kan ende på <strong>%d.</strong> plass på.</p>\n",
416 $player_name, ($match_position + 1);
418 printf " <p>Scenario der <strong>%s</strong> ender på <strong>%d.</strong> plass:</p>\n",
419 $player_name, ($match_position + 1);
421 for my $m (@scenario) {
422 printf " <li>%s – %s: %+d</li>\n", $players{$m->[0]}, $players{$m->[1]}, $m->[2];
427 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
428 wloh_common::print_navbar($cgi, $dbh, $locale);
429 printf <<"EOF", $match_stddev;
430 <h1>WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning</h1>
432 <p><em>Dette er et hobbyprosjekt fra tredjepart, og ikke en offisiell del av
433 <a href="http://wordfeud.aasmul.net/">Wordfeud Leage of Honour</a>.</em></p>
435 <p>Beregningen tar ikke hensyn til ujevn spillestyrke, ting som er sagt i forumet e.l.;
436 den antar at samtlige uspilte kamper trekkes fra en normalfordeling med standardavvik
437 %.1f poeng. Sannsynlighetene kan summere til andre tall enn 100%% pga. avrunding.
438 Tallene vil variere litt fra gang til gang fordi utregningen skjer ved randomisering.
439 For scenarioeksempel, klikk i en rute.</p>
441 <p>Spillerne er sortert etter nick.</p>
444 print_division_selector($dbh, $locale, \@divisions, \@subdivisions, $division, $subdivision);
446 my $max_division = $divisions[$#divisions];
447 my $lowest_division = ($division == $max_division);
448 make_table($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, {}, {}, $division, $subdivision);
451 <p style="clear: both; padding-top: 1em;">Under er en variant som tar relativ spillestyrke med i beregningen;
452 se <a href="rating">ratingsiden</a>.</p>
455 make_table($locale, $aux_parms, $match_stddev, $lowest_division, \%ratings, $cov, $division, $subdivision);
457 my $avg_rating = find_avg_rating(\%ratings);
458 printf " <p style=\"clear: both; padding-top: 1em;\">Gjennomsnittlig rating i denne avdelingen er <strong>%.1f</strong>.</p>\n", $avg_rating;
460 if (defined($cgi->param('showcov'))) {
461 make_cov_table($cov);
464 wloh_common::output_last_sync($dbh);