6 use CGI::Carp qw( fatalsToBrowser );
13 require '../config.pm';
17 my $dbh = DBI->connect($config::local_connstr, $config::local_username, $config::local_password)
18 or die "connect: " . $DBI::errstr;
19 $dbh->{AutoCommit} = 0;
20 $dbh->{RaiseError} = 1;
24 binmode STDOUT, ':utf8';
28 my %ratings_stddev = ();
34 return HTML::Entities::encode_entities(shift);
39 return int(255.0 * ($x ** (1.80)));
43 my ($lowest_division, $used_ratings, $used_ratings_stddev) = @_;
52 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'C');
54 my $tmpnam = POSIX::tmpnam();
55 open MCCALC, ">", $tmpnam
58 printf MCCALC "%f\n", $match_stddev;
59 printf MCCALC "%d\n", scalar keys %players;
61 for my $id (keys %players) {
62 my $rating = $used_ratings->{$id} // 1500.0;
63 my $rating_stddev = $used_ratings_stddev->{$id} // $parms{-3};
64 printf MCCALC "%s %f %f\n", $id, $rating, $rating_stddev;
67 for my $match (@matches) {
68 printf MCCALC "%s %s %d %d\n", $match->[0], $match->[1], $match->[2], $match->[3];
72 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
76 open MCCALC, "$config::base_dir/mcwordfeud $trials < $tmpnam |"
82 my $player = sprintf "%s (%.0f ± %.0f)", $players{$id}, ($ratings{$id} // 1500.0), ($ratings_stddev{$id} // $parms{-3});
83 $prob{$player} = [ @x[1..$#x] ];
88 my $num_games = scalar keys %prob;
89 for my $i (1..$num_games) {
90 print " <th>$i.</th>\n";
92 print " <th>NEDRYKK</th>\n" unless ($lowest_division);
95 for my $player (sort { $a cmp $b } keys %prob) {
97 print " <th>$player</th>\n";
99 for my $i (1..$num_games) {
100 my $pn = $prob{$player}->[$i - 1] / $trials;
102 my $r = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
103 my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
108 } elsif ($i >= $num_games - 1 && !$lowest_division) {
112 printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\" class=\"num\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
115 unless ($lowest_division) {
116 my $pn = ($prob{$player}->[$num_games - 1] + $prob{$player}->[$num_games - 2]) / $trials;
119 my $g = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
120 my $b = color(1.0 - $pn / 3);
121 printf " <td style=\"background-color: rgb($r, $g, $b)\" class=\"num\">%.1f%%</td>\n", $pn * 100.0;
131 # Get auxillary parameters
132 my $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT * FROM ratings WHERE id < 0');
135 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
136 $parms{$ref->{'id'}} = $ref->{'rating'};
138 $match_stddev = $parms{-2} * sqrt(2.0);
141 my $division = $cgi->param('divisjon') // -1;
142 my $subdivision = $cgi->param('avdeling') // -1;
143 my $last_division = 0;
145 POSIX::setlocale(&POSIX::LC_ALL, 'nb_NO.UTF-8');
147 print $cgi->header(-type=>'text/html; charset=utf-8', -expires=>'now');
148 printf <<"EOF", $match_stddev;
151 <title>WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning</title>
152 <link rel="stylesheet" href="/style" type="text/css" />
155 <h1>WLoH-plasseringsannsynlighetsberegning</h1>
157 <p><em>Dette er et hobbyprosjekt fra tredjepart, og ikke en offisiell del av
158 <a href="http://wordfeud.aasmul.net/">Wordfeud Leage of Honour</a>.</em></p>
160 <p>Beregningen tar ikke hensyn til ujevn spillestyrke, ting som er sagt i forumet e.l.;
161 den antar at samtlige uspilte kamper trekkes fra en normalfordeling med standardavvik
162 %.1f poeng. Sannsynlighetene kan summere til andre tall enn 100%% pga. avrunding.
163 Tallene vil variere litt fra gang til gang fordi utregningen skjer ved randomisering.</p>
165 <p>Spillerne er sortert etter nick.</p>
167 <form method="get" action="/">
170 $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT MAX(sesong) AS max_sesong FROM fotballserier');
173 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
174 $season = $ref->{'max_sesong'};
179 <select name="divisjon" onchange="form.submit();">
182 $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT DISTINCT(divisjon) FROM fotballserier WHERE sesong=? ORDER BY divisjon');
183 $q->execute($season);
185 my $found_division = 0;
188 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
189 my $d = $ref->{'divisjon'};
190 if ($d == $division) {
191 print " <option value=\"$d\" selected=\"selected\">$d</option>\n";
194 print " <option value=\"$d\">$d</option>\n";
199 $division = 1 if (!$found_division);
204 <select name="avdeling" onchange="form.submit();">
207 $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT DISTINCT(avdeling) FROM fotballserier WHERE sesong=? AND divisjon=? ORDER BY avdeling');
208 $q->execute($season, $division);
210 my $found_subdivision = 0;
212 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
213 my $sd = $ref->{'avdeling'};
214 if ($sd == $subdivision) {
215 print " <option value=\"$sd\" selected=\"selected\">$sd</option>\n";
216 $found_subdivision = 1;
218 print " <option value=\"$sd\">$sd</option>\n";
222 $subdivision = 1 if (!$found_subdivision);
226 <input type="submit" value="Vis" />
231 # Get players and ratings
232 $q = $dbh->prepare('SELECT fotballdeltagere.id,fotballdeltagere.navn,rating,rating_stddev FROM fotballdeltagere JOIN fotballserier ON fotballdeltagere.serie=fotballserier.nr LEFT JOIN ratings ON fotballdeltagere.id=ratings.id WHERE sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?');
233 $q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
235 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
236 my $id = $ref->{'id'};
237 $players{$id} = sanitize(Encode::decode_utf8($ref->{'navn'}));
238 $ratings{$id} = $ref->{'rating'};
239 $ratings_stddev{$id} = $ref->{'rating_stddev'};
245 d1.id AS p1, d2.id AS p2, maalfor AS score1, maalmot AS score2
246 FROM fotballresultater r
247 JOIN fotballserier s ON r.serie=s.nr
248 JOIN fotballdeltagere d1 ON r.lagrecno=d1.nr AND r.serie=d1.serie
249 JOIN fotballdeltagere d2 ON r.motstander=d2.nr AND r.serie=d2.serie
251 sesong=? AND divisjon=? AND avdeling=?
252 AND lagrecno > motstander
254 $q->execute($season, $division, $subdivision);
256 while (my $ref = $q->fetchrow_hashref) {
257 push @matches, [ $ref->{'p1'}, $ref->{'p2'}, $ref->{'score1'}, $ref->{'score2'} ];
261 my $lowest_division = ($division == $max_division);
262 make_table($lowest_division, {}, {});
265 <p>Under er en variant som tar relativ spillestyrke med i beregningen;
266 se <a href="/rating">ratingsiden</a>.</p>
269 make_table($lowest_division, \%ratings, \%ratings_stddev);